Rabu, 17 Juni 2009

LIVE PERFORMANCE FOREXFORLIVING

“If you know the enemy and know yourself, You need not fear the result of a hundred Battles.

If you know yourself but not the enemy, For every Victory Gained you will also suffer a defeat.

If you know neither the enemy NOR yourself, You will succumb in every battle”.

Sun Tzu, The art of War.


Below is the update performance every 5 minutes for fxforliving Live Account. Start trading : 27 July 2009 until NOW....






Also, I attached one of my clients live account. The account will be updated every 5 minutes:






Hi Guys….


Please pay attention to what Sun Tzu said in the sentence above. You need to understand what Sun Tzu said above, because Here, I want to guide you to understand :

  1. What is forex trading ?
  2. What is beginner and professional trader ?
  3. What is automatic trading / Expert Advisors / Robot ?
  4. Kinds of trading technique in Forex.
  5. Basic knowledge of Forex trading technique
  6. What is strategy, technique, behind forexforliving robot / Expert Advisors ?

I wrote this, because I have principle on doing business with anybody. I am not kind of persons which have “Brokerage” mentality: Stimulate your greedy , talk optimism, and get your money as big as I can.

I am not kind of persons which fooled beginner with sweet and nice dream.

NO !!!!

I have social responsibility for any clients which want to manage their account to me.

I need to give full and proper education about what is forex talk about.

What is the risk with Forex. And What is the reward you can get with Forex.

Forex trading is not suitable for everyone. So, before you deposit your money to me, I advice you once again : Please read it carefully. Be honest to yourself. If you feel, you are not suitable with Forex…, then think twice to deposit your money in Forex.

Here…, Once again, I want you WIN in thousands of battle. And, to win it, you must understand clearly your enemy (Forex trading world), and yourself (Your trading character).

Ok. Let me start from beginning. Actually, what I will say below, is far from perfect. But, I think its enough to give you proper understanding about the world of Forex.

I. WHAT IS FOREX TRADING ?

Well…, Forex is : Foreign Exchange. It trade pair currencies like : EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, etc.

With technology, we can trade forex more cheap, online, and with high leverage.

Forex market open 5 days a week, 24 hours non stop.

In Forex, there are 3 Time Zone : Asian Time (Tokyo), Europe Time (London) and USA Time (New York).

Forex market is the biggest market in the world. It is very liquid market. In a day, the money circulation is more than 2 Trillion Dollar a day (More than 2.000 Billion Dollar A DAY !!!! )

Can you imagine how big it is ? Well…, with this liquidity, its almost impossible even for group of Country to control the market. ITS IMPOSSIBLE !!! So, if even country CAN’T control it, don’t ever dream that any individual person can control this market.

With this liquidity, forex provide HUGE opportunity to PROFIT. And, also HUGE opportunity to LOSS.

Some people, usually skeptic hearing FOREX. Why ? Because they heard, so many people bankrupt because of Forex.

I am regret for this reality. Because, so many bad mentality brokerage, which not give proper education to their “Innocent” client. It made Forex image in society become bad.

But, here, I want to give you fact. The reality is : 95% forex trader , loss.

And, its only 5% of trader which profit. And they totally motherfucking bastard RICH!!!!

So, if you ask, Hi Hendera, why you still trading forex when the fact that 95% of forex trader is loser ? This fact, showed that 95% probability you will get loss your money, right ?

The answer is :

I was gambler. You know why I am quit from gambling ? Because, I NEVER saw gambler which RICH. I only saw the “Bandar” which get rich. If there is no such a gambler rich, there is no reason for me hoping become rich from gambling. So, I am quit from gambling.

But, its difference with Forex. Even though 95% of forex trader loss. But, there are 5% which winner. I saw them. I met them. And, I want to be like them. And, I know I will be like them, IF I learn from the best, learn from the 5% success people.

II. WHAT IS BEGINNER AND PROFESSIONAL TRADER ?

Here…, this is the part that I want to test you, whether you are beginner or professional trader.

Let me test you :

1. Imagine your monthly salary. Let say your salary is Rp. 5 million a month. (You can imagine it with your own salary).

2. Take 2% of your monthly salary. Let say, 2% of 5 Mio IDR = Rp. 100.000 IDR.

3. You bet with your friend, Rp. 100.000 for book Manchester United as champion in the league.

What do you feel, if you WIN ?

Or, What do you feel, if you LOSE ?

Pay attention here :

If YOU Bet 2% of your income, and you WIN, and you feel SOOOOOO HAPPYYYYYYYYYY……, You are BEGINNER TRADER!!!

If YOU Bet 2% of your income, and you LOSE, and you feel SOOOOO SAAADDDD…, you are BEGINNER TRADER !!!

I am advice you…, don’t play with FOREX. It will ruin your emotion !!!

These are characteristics of beginner trader :

  1. So happy if winning. So sad if losing.
  2. Dream to win a million dollar, but not ready and can’t accept losing even a dollar.
  3. If winning, they become greedy, and take more trade, to have more winning.
  4. If losing, they can’t accept it, and take more trade, to cover they loss.

Those characteristics lead to overtrading, and LOSS !!!


These are characteristics of Professional trader:

  1. Before they trade, they do understand the game and the characteristic of the game they are playing with.
  2. Before they trade, they have plan, and stick and discipline to the plan.
  3. They understand what means of BALANCE and FAIRNESS. If you DARE TO WIN, means you DARE TO LOSE. It is FAIR GAME. It lead to they emotion stability. If they win, they only little bit happy. And, if they lose, they also only little bit sad. And, this situation never influence their emotion.
  4. They not greedy. They have a plan to withdraw if they win. And stick to the plan.


I was also beginner trader. I am emotional. Greedy.

But, losing until 20% of my monthly income, still not influencing a lot of my emotion….

So, if just losing 2% of your monthly income, and you already EXTREME EMOTION CHANGE because of Win / Lose, I am advice you…., you are not suitable for Forex Trading !!!


III. WHAT IS AUTOMATIC TRADING / EXPERT ADVISORS / ROBOT ?

Do you know, what is THE BIGGEST ENEMY of TRADER ?

The answer is EMOTION !!! Because we are human..., emotional creature....


In Forex, in certain times, the forex movement also so fast. In a second, the price can change 5 times. So, when you drag your mouse and want to buy/sell, the price already move like lightning !!!


So, here, we need a software that can help us doing our trading system automatically. It called : Robot / Expert Advisors. It can provide us trading which can be conducted objectively, discipline, and no tired...


We can code ours trading system in metaquotes language. It similar with C language. If you familiar with Linux or C language, its take faster time to understand this language.

IV. KINDS of TRADING TECHNIQUE in FOREX.

There are many kinds of trading technique in Forex. You can read it in details in thread which I already wrote before.

In short :

  1. Grid trading.
  2. Scalping.
  3. Breakout / Contraction-Expansion
  4. Artificial Intelligence
  5. Technical : Swing trading,
  6. Pyramiding.
  7. Correlation
  8. etc….

Here…, In fxforliving EA, we talk about more in Scalping technique.

I don’t talk a lot about every trading technique I mentioned above. Because, here, I am not making a book ! ^_^

Then, I want to tell you, there is no such a one trading technique suitable for every market condition. NO !!!

One trading technique is suitable only for specific market condition….

V. BASIC KNOWLEDGE OF FOREX TRADING TECHNIQUE.

There are many market situation. Let discussed some :

  1. Sideway. The market move only in small movement, and low volume.
  1. Trending. The market move Strongly to up / down direction, with high volume trading.

  1. Uptrend reversal

The market movement reverse from uptrend to downtrend.

  1. Downtrend reversal

The market movement reverse from downtrend to uptrend.

  1. Average daily range

Average range of lowest price and highest price in daily basis.

  1. Average hourly range.

Average range of lowest price and highest price in hourly basis.



IV. What is strategy, technique , behind forexforliving robot / EA ?

I am using scalping technique and EUR/USD pair currency.

Like what we knew, scalping is suitable only for specific market situation. It is only for sideway market.

The most bad situation market for this technique is : uptrend / downtrend reversal, and followed by STRONG TRENDING.

Ok. First, lets talk about FACT :

This is 3 month REAL LIVE ACCOUNT RESULT : 3 month already : 14.8% growth.


Monthly income : 4.8%.

Maximum drawdown : <>



This is 8.5 years backtest with 90% modeling quality (90% is the highest modeling quality à Means the data which used, is 90% similar to real data).

Account growth : 3100% in 8.5 years. Or, 364% per year growth on average. It is high number, because of compounding.

On annual basis, the Return range : 50% - 95% per annum. In USD.


I need to tell you, that those data are 100% REAL !!! I can fully responsible for the accuracy of data which I used.

If you want to know how I have performance like mentioned above, the answer is below :

Do you know :

  1. Every trader have their favorite currency pair ?
  2. Every currency pair , have their own characteristics ?
  3. Each currency pair, not suitable for every trading technique ? Example : Breakout trading usually using GBP/USD or GBP/JPY or CHF/JPY ? Scalping usually using EUR/USD , USD/JPY. Grid trading usually using AUD/NZD, EUR/CHF ?

What does it means ?

Means…., to understand 1 trading technique, in 1 pair…, you NEED TO KNOW ALL ASPECT about THOSE CURRENCY.

What you need to do is : Treat 1 pair currency as your LOVER. You need to know all characteristic of its pair. For example : What is its average daily range ? what is its average hourly range ? in specific hours ? what is its average maximum range ? when it happened ? and others hundreds characteristics….

So bad, because currently in internet nobody want to publish their research for their favorite currency pair, so you need to spend time, learn it from ZERO.....

Do you know, how long I learn about EUR/USD pair ?

Well…., hundreds of hours, everyday, from 8 month ago !!!!

It is only 1 technique, and 1 pair !!!

I need to learn in details, because nobody provide the data talking about EUR/USD character !!! You need to dig and explore it by yourself !!!

Look at the data “Hourly range” and “Daily Range”. I have hundreds of statistic data from last 8 years.
I am categorizing for every time zone. I am analyzing every data. For every movement, I learn why is it happening, when is it happen, etc ?

I learn for every fundamental which affect EUR/USD pair : PPI, CPI, New home sales, Non Farm Payroll, etc. And, for every movement number of those fundamental, I am note how it will affect to EUR/USD.

I learn When EUR/USD usually have anomaly, and explore Why was it happening...

So…, summary : I got detail understanding about only 1 pair EUR/USD with doing my HEAVY HOME WORK !!!

And, all parameter, trading technique I created here, not coming from the dream and from the sky !!!

It is coming from sophisticated research, testing, exploring, and hundreds of sleepless hours !!!

You know, why my scalping technique is different with other scalping technique in the market ?

Scalping technique in market :

  1. They first open position is only using 1 indicator. It is 50% wrong direction!!! I can prove it !! and, as concept trading, it totally wrong !!
  2. They have no filter to avoid bad market situation.
  3. They using only 1 parameter for all market situation.
  4. They have no smart system which analyse the market situation.
  5. They have no clue, about the “Correct parameter” for each movement they do.

My Scalping technique:

  1. I have two trading filter : Trend and Volatility Filter. Like what I said, scalping is not suitable for every market. I only choose sideway market. So, before conduct trading, I have trend filter and volatility Filter. These filter will analyze whether the market situation is dangerous or not. If the market dangerous, the filter will cancel the robot to have trading.
  2. I am opening position using 3 indicators. It help the system to understand the total market situation, and make the decision is 80% correct.

Most of traders, have wrong understanding about what is indicators said. They only using 1 indicator, and make the decision based on it. IT TOTALLY WRONG !!!

Let me give you an example. For you to make it easier, let me give example using indicator in sales (Because most of you are sales persons, right ? )

Let say…, you need to increase sales. Then, you have 1 indicator only , example : distribution. The distribution showed : 100%. Then, what will you do ? Its rather difficult right ? If there is ruled : to increase sales, then you need to increase distribution. So, if your data showed distribution : 100%, then what will you do ? It confusing right. High probability you conduct wrong action. It caused, you have so minimum indicator.

What if you have data : distribution : 100%. Total stores : 100 oulet. Covered stores : 5 outlet. With these 3 data, it will make your decision clear, correct ? You will analyze that problem is not in distribution, but in covered outlet.

Same with Forex. Using only 1 indicators, is not showing anything. Most traders lazy to learn many indicators, what means of each indicators, and how to use them together in order to give clearly global market situation.

Here, I am using 3 indicators, to have clearly about total market situation. It lead to improvement of accuracy of my first system decision.

  1. This robot have market analysis system and automatic parameter optimizing. The system have capability to analyze market situation. And if suddenly happening anomaly, or market situation suddenly changed, then the system will optimized automatically the parameter of the system.
  2. I have BEST PARAMETER. I DID my heavy homework. Not like other trader, which only fill the parameter based on feeling, I am fill parameter based on FACT and STATISTIC. That’s why I do believe about my best parameter.

Summary :

  1. Forex provide risk. But also provide Reward. You should not avoid the risk. You should manage the risk while you get the reward.
  2. Forex is not suitable for everybody. Be honest to yourself whether you are suitable or not in forex market.
  3. There is risk in this system. I am lie if I say no risk. Extreme market can happen anytime. But, Fact from backtest of last 9 years, and live forward results for last 3 month, said that the system have REDUCE THE RISK EXTREMELY LOW. These are the fact :
  • Fact 1 : 15% return in 3 month with 5% draw down in Live trading account.
  • Fact 2 : 3100% return in 8.5 years in backtest result.


How I manage the risk ?

  • I have smart system, that can analyze and avoid bad market situation to have trading. I am using trend and volatility filter.
  • For every first opening position, I am using 3 indicators, which lead to improvement of accuracy.
  • I have smart system, which can detect sudden market movement / anomaly in market. System will change its parameter automatically, suitable with market situation.
  • I have "Stealth Mode" trading technique. All trading technique input in our own server. Broker never know when will we open position or take profit. It to avoid dirty action from Broker.
  • I have best parameter based on statistic. Example : Do you know, average hourly range in sideways market on June 2009 is 40 pips. Average Daily range in June 2009 is 225 pips ? Do you know, the highest trending range is in Non Farm Payroll ? And, the average trending in NFP is 230 pips in very short time ? And, my system can survive if there is wrong direction, and there is movement until 330 pips strong trending, without any small reversal, in very short time. And, possibility to this situation is SOOOO SMALLLLLLLL. If you already buy my license, I will explain in details, why is possibility to have strong trending in sideways market until 330 pips, without any small reversal in very short time is SOOOO SMALLLLL, when you buys my license. I will explain in very detail explanation in my e-book there.

So, on how I manage the risk, I have 6 LEVEL / GATE protection :

Level 1 : Trend Filter

Level 2 : Volatility Filter

Level 3 : Smart Indicator Analysis using synergies of 3 indicators for opening position.

Level 4 : Smart market analysis to optimize trading parameter automatically , suit with market movement / change.

Level 5 : Best parameters, which can make system survive if have wrong position in the most worst history market situation.

Level 6 : Stealth mode technique. Broker never know when will our system take profit, stop loss or open position.


Currently, the newest forexforliving version is fxforliving_v1.4


Probably, in next month, I will release forexforliving_v.1.5. There is additional Protection level : Stochastic Oscillator filter. This function is to avoid system to take position in Overbought / Oversold condition. It will prevent system to have dangerous market situation : Uptrend / Downtrend reversal.

So, in forexforliving_v.1.5, there will be 7 level of protection. Hope, this last feature, can reduce drawdown possibility into 60% - 70%.


With this 6 level of protection, it make My system survive in last 9 years trading.

But, for this 6 level of protection, I am sacrificing return. Mostly, forex trader expect return for their sytem : 15% - 40% monthly. But, mostly also, this system never consistent. Usually after 2 month or 3 month, this system will also broke.

Different with my system. My system provide return 3% - 7% monthly. But, I am focusing on protection of equity.And, the most important one : It provide consistent profit monthly.


If you want to compare my system performance with bank :

Deposit in Bank, in USD = 2%-3% annually. My System can provide 3%-7% monthly. Or, 36%-84% annually.


And, remember, usually most of currency will depreciate to USD. So, even if you have no return, if you invest in USD, currency depreciation will return growth value to you in certain time.


I have several risk management level. If you want to reduce more the risk, then you will have more lower return. And, it vice versa.


So…., you already know my system, and how it works. I already provide you clear and transparent education about forex trading.

Its up to you, whether you dare to trade in forex market or not.

Regards,

Hendera

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